House Price Forecast: What will Happen to Asking Prices in 2023?

News at Jones Robinson | 16/12/2022


Rightmove's Latest Market Update - December 2022

There’s been a lot going on in the housing market this year. Rightmove are reporting that the market started in 2022 with months of record-breaking house price increases, huge levels of demand from buyers, and homes selling more quickly than ever before. 

They continue, "As the year progressed, we started to see the market settle down after an exceptionally busy two years, and were returning to the kind of housing market we’d seen in the years prior to the pandemic. And then interest rates started to increase, and some buyers put their moving plans on hold as mortgage rates also climbed."

So how could the events of 2022 affect the property market next year? Here’s how things are looking right now, according to the latest information from Rightmove.

What could happen to house prices in 2023?

This year Rightmove saw asking prices in Great Britain rise by 5.6%, to an average of £359,137. This was almost £17,000 higher than in 2021, when prices increased by 6.3%. 

In 2023, they are forecasting that average asking prices will drop by 2%, which means prices will still remain higher than they were after the incredibly busy home-moving period of 2021. 

One of the main drivers of the house price growth they have seen over the past two years has been the imbalance of supply and demand, with far more people looking to move than there were homes available for sale. And in a more settled housing market, buyers will have the time and space to make sure they find the right home for them. As a result of this, Rightmove anticipate the time it takes to sell a home increasing to what we’d expect to see in a more ‘normal’ housing market, of around 60 days. 

Their property expert, Tim Bannister, says: “After two and a half years of frenetic activity, it’s easy to forget that having multiple bidders immediately lining up to buy your home was the exception rather than the norm in pre-pandemic years, and there will be a period of readjustment for home-movers as properties take longer to find the right buyer.” 

So what will this mean where you live? 

Rightmove's house price forecast is based on a national average, so they expect that prices in some pockets of Great Britain will outperform others. This is because house price changes vary across the country, with lots of smaller, local markets affected in different ways. For instance, price growth in an area could vary from street to street depending on the types of property available, the desirability of the location, and buyer affordability.  

You can find out how much the average asking price currently is where you live in our December House Price Report.  

Are people still looking to move?

After the uncertainty brought about by interest rate rises and high inflation, there are signs that some buyers are ready to get started with their home moves as we head into the New Year. In December 2022, views of homes for sale on Rightmove are up 11% when compared to the same period in 2021, suggesting that 2023 moves are on the cards for those who are able to do so.  

Rightmove's property expert, Tim Bannister, says: “We’re heading towards a more even balance between supply and demand next year, but we don’t expect more significant price falls in 2023. This is reflected in our prediction of a relatively modest average fall of 2% next year.” 

What's happening in our area?

Our offices are still busy, and across all five branches, we registered almost 600 sales and lettings applicants in November. The month of December is a good market barometer as we tend to register the most proactive buyers who are planning on moving in early 2023. Whilst there are usually less viewings and new instructions in December, we encourage as many new sellers as possible to launch their properties mid-December, as they enjoy high levels of internet activity with clients watching our video tours (which we produce for all our properties) and perusing our property details in depth.

One of the most popular property search days of all is Boxing Day, so properties which are active during the festive period will attract the first wave of viewing activity in January.